Convection — the series
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A threshold with a closed form
A layer of fluid heated from below sits still until buoyancy overcomes both diffusions at once, and then it convects. Unlike every other threshold in this field, that one is an eigenvalue with an exact answer, and the answer is 27π⁴/4.
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Three numbers left of a fluid
Saltzman truncated convection to three Fourier modes and Lorenz studied what was left. The result changed science, and it stopped being a description of a fluid at about a fifth of the way to the parameter everybody quotes it at.
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A millionth is enough
Two trajectories a millionth apart separate by a factor of e every three-quarters of a second, so a millionfold improvement in the measurement buys about ten seconds of extra prediction. That exchange rate, and not the size of the error, is what limits forecasting.
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The threshold the walls decide
A layer heated from below convects at a Rayleigh number of 1707.762, and nothing whatever happens at one. The free–free case has a closed form and the two that do not differ from it by a factor of 2.6 — produced by nothing but what the top and bottom surfaces are permitted to do.
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The truncation that cannot carry three times the heat
Lorenz's three modes give a convecting layer's heat flux in one line — one plus twice (r − 1) over r — and it can never reach three times what conduction carries. The same rolls computed with forty-two modes agree with that line exactly at onset, carry 7.1 per cent more heat at twice the critical Rayleigh number, and twice as much at thirty times it. The ceiling is not in the convection; it is in having one sine to draw the temperature with.
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Hexagons remember how the heat was turned up
A layer heated from below convects in rolls, unless its top and bottom are not mirror images of each other. Then three sets of rolls at 120° can feed one another through a term the symmetry used to forbid, hexagonal cells appear before the layer is formally unstable, and there is a range of heating in which rolls and hexagons are both stable — so the pattern a layer shows depends on whether the heat was turned up or down to get there.