Transition — the series
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The solutions stop being chosen
Hagen and Poiseuille's pipe profile is an exact solution of the Navier–Stokes equations at every Reynolds number, and it is linearly stable at every Reynolds number. Something else happens at 2300 anyway, and it is not that the solution stopped being one.
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The number that is not a number
Transition Reynolds numbers are quoted to three figures and vary by two decades. That is not sloppiness in the measurement — it is the honest report of a quantity that depends on the laboratory as much as on the fluid, and knowing which part is which decides what may be designed on it.
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Every mode decays and it grows anyway
A stability analysis asks whether any mode of a flow grows, and for pipe flow the answer is no, at every Reynolds number, which the pipe disagrees with. The missing ingredient is that the modes are not perpendicular — a disturbance made of two nearly parallel decaying pieces can grow by a factor of Re²/16 before it dies.
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A puff that does not know how old it is
A patch of turbulence in a pipe below the critical Reynolds number dies at random, and its chance of dying in the next second does not depend on how long it has already lasted. The flow that contains it has a memory anyway, because the patches multiply — and where multiplying overtakes dying is a Reynolds number.