Concept

The Lorenz system — where it appears

Three ordinary differential equations obtained by truncating a convection problem to three modes. It is not a fluid and it is chaotic, which makes it the cleanest available demonstration that determinism and unpredictability are compatible.

Named by 3 essays across one field — each of them below, with the objects they name alongside it.

Three equations, and the set they never leave. The Lorenz trajectory at r = 28, projected on x and z, after the transient has been discarded. It never repeats, never leaves, and never crosses itself in three dimensions. The Lyapunov exponent printed beside it is measured on this system by separating a nearby pair, so the claim of sensitive dependence is a computation.

Three numbers left of a fluid

Saltzman truncated convection to three Fourier modes and Lorenz studied what was left. The result changed science, and it stopped being a description of a fluid at about a fifth of the way to the parameter everybody quotes it at.

turbulence · Convection

A millionth, doubling every three-quarters of a second. The separation of two trajectories started a millionth apart, on log axes against time. It grows as a straight line until it saturates at the size of the attractor, and the slope of that line is the largest Lyapunov exponent — measured here on the system by renormalising a nearby pair, not quoted. Sensitive dependence is what the straightness of the line means.

A millionth is enough

Two trajectories a millionth apart separate by a factor of e every three-quarters of a second, so a millionfold improvement in the measurement buys about ten seconds of extra prediction. That exchange rate, and not the size of the error, is what limits forecasting.

turbulence · Convection

Three modes carry heat up to a ceiling of three; the rolls they were cut from keep going. The Nusselt number — heat carried across the layer over what conduction alone would carry — against r, the Rayleigh number over its critical value, for Lorenz's three-mode truncation, 1 + 2(r − 1)/r, and for steady rolls at the same wavenumber computed with 6 and with 42 temperature modes. At r = 2, r = 5 and r = 30 Lorenz gives 2.000, 2.600 and 2.933; the 42-mode rolls give 2.143, 3.323 and 5.970. Lorenz's value can never exceed three whatever the Rayleigh number; the rolls' keeps rising. The ceiling is not in the convection. It is in the three modes, which have only one way to thin the thermal layers, and half of it is used by the time the layer is twice past onset.

The truncation that cannot carry three times the heat

Lorenz's three modes give a convecting layer's heat flux in one line — one plus twice (r − 1) over r — and it can never reach three times what conduction carries. The same rolls computed with forty-two modes agree with that line exactly at onset, carry 7.1 per cent more heat at twice the critical Rayleigh number, and twice as much at thirty times it. The ceiling is not in the convection; it is in having one sine to draw the temperature with.

turbulence · Convection

Named alongside it

The objects these essays reach for when they reach for this one.

Truncation Convection Dynamical system Model limit Rayleigh–Bénard convection Bifurcation Boundary layer Convergence Fixed point Forecasting Heat transfer The Lyapunov exponent

All concepts